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Let's use models in a more reasonable way !

Abstract : The total cost of implementation of the Jl scenario for EU-15 has been estimated to 64 milliard EURO/year in 2010 by IIASA. To realize the magnitude of that number : the GNP of EU-15 was estimated to 7580 milliards US $ in 1995. So, without considering detailed bases of such evaluations, the total cost of the Jl scenario is in a order of magnitude near to 1% of GNP, or near to the European Union budget... The allocation of efforts and financial burden between european countries is a matter of concern. Such an allocation should aim not only at economic efficiency but also at equity. It should not be only a game of chance even chance can sometimes take the form of random result of a model.
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Submitted on : Thursday, April 3, 2014 - 3:22:17 PM
Last modification on : Friday, October 23, 2020 - 5:00:02 PM
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  • HAL Id : ineris-00972190, version 1
  • INERIS : PU-1999-103



Guy Landrieu. Let's use models in a more reasonable way !. 23. Meeting "UNECE Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling", Mar 1999, Les Diablerets, Switzerland. ⟨ineris-00972190⟩



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