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Journal articles

Hiérarchisation des déterminants de la composition atmosphérique future en Europe

Abstract : There are two main factors to be considered to understand the long-term evolution of air quality over the course of the 21st century: (i) the strategies to reduce the anthropogenic emission of air pollutant and precursors, and (ii) the impact of climate change. Thanks to important developments in modelling capacities, it is now possible to implement the air quality models generally used for a few days forecast over the scale of decades while taking into account the impact of climate change. The PhD work presented here goes an extra mile, by developing surrogate air quality and climate models to explore the uncertainties of such long-term projections, for instance by investigating a large set of climate models (such as those used in IPCC assessments) instead of a single source. It becomes possible to take into account modelling uncertainties in comparing the relative importance of mitigation strategies and climate change to ensure that current strategies will remain efficient over the long run, in the context of a changing climate
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Submitted on : Thursday, February 21, 2019 - 4:41:33 PM
Last modification on : Friday, February 22, 2019 - 1:16:39 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Wednesday, May 22, 2019 - 7:50:41 PM


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  • HAL Id : ineris-02044869, version 1



Vincent Lemaire, Augustin Colette. Hiérarchisation des déterminants de la composition atmosphérique future en Europe. Rapport Scientifique INERIS, 2018, 2017-2018, pp.44-45. ⟨ineris-02044869⟩



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